top of page



NFL Playoffs Betting Picks: Three Pooches Worth Considering in the Wildcard Round
The Broncos, Seahawks, Patriots, Jaguars, Bears, Rams, 49ers, Texans, Bills, Chargers, and Packers all made the postseason cut this year, after missing the mark in 2024-25. The reversal of fortunes informs an angle that has delivered a long-term ATS win rate that is statistically significantly higher (despite the relatively small sample size) than the 52.3% cover rate required to break even at the standard vigorish.
@WizeOwlSports
11 hours ago5 min read


2025 NFL Playoffs Betting Pick: Backing the Jaguars in Wildcard Action
NFL Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonville Jaguars +1 The Football Outsiders' Defense-adjusted Value Over Average framework (now owned by FTN Network) evaluates team performance on a play-by-play basis compared to the league average, adjusted for situation and opponent. DVOA is widely respected as a predictor of future success. This metric gives the Jaguars a slight edge over the Bills, in the ballpark of a point, even before considering any home-field advantage associa
@WizeOwlSports
2 days ago2 min read


UFC Vegas 112 Betting Pick: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus Buchecha
History suggests Kennedy Nzechukwu is somewhat undervalued at -135, and we are counting a wager on the slight favorite for the win among our betting picks for UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape. We expect Nzechukwu’s substantial reach advantage to keep Marcus Buchecha at range, and his southpaw stance to prove enigmatic...We also expect Nzechukwu’s high strike rate and strong takedown defense to mitigate Buchecha’s Jiu-Jitsu edge.
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 10, 20253 min read


UFC 323 Betting Pick: Brandon Moreno Vs. Tatsuro Taira
The antepenultimate match-up on the UFC 323 card pits Brandon “The Assassin Baby” Moreno against Tatsuro “The Best” Taira in the Flyweight division. Taira is just over six years Moreno’s junior and will enter the octagon after on the heels of a bounce-back win over Hyun Sung Park. Moreno will enter Saturday’s action after collecting consecutive wins over Steve Erceg and Amir Albazi (following back-to-back losses).
@WizeOwlSports
Dec 6, 20252 min read
bottom of page
