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@WizeOwlSports
Sep 7, 20242 min read
2024 Week 1 NFL Betting Picks Guide: Fading Significant Line Movement
The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point favorites at the Browns. The line has since swung four points. History suggests bettors are overreacting.
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 21, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 7 Betting Picks Guide—Back Good Teams off Big Losses
NFL Betting Picks: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Bucs -2.5 -120 The 3-2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South division, despite...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Six Plays Highlighted In Last Hurrah for Early-Season Angle By now, we have documented ad nauseum the merit of backing...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 1, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Letting the Spread be Your Guide
NFL Betting Picks: Big line movement informs plays on four week 4 underdogs Historically, extreme changes in the betting line early in...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 27, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 1—Another Angle for Early Season Betting Picks
We're taking the New York Giants ATS at the Dallas Cowboys in the 2023-24 NFL season opener at AT&T Stadium. We detail our rationale here...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 23, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 1: Highly Successful System Yields 7 Betting Picks
NFL Betting Picks: Backing low-quality dogs vs. their division The first action of the NFL season has historically proven a golden...
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 6, 20231 min read
2022 NFL Week 18: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons
We detail herein our rationale for backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the cover in what might be Brady's last regular season NFL action.
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 10, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 10 TNF: Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
We are kicking off our 2022 NFL week 10 action by going back to the well & backing the Carolina Panthers as home dogs to the Atlanta Falcons
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 6, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 10: Best Spot of Regular Season for Point-Takers
Week 10 represents the absolute best spot of the regular NFL season to throw support behind underdogs to beat the number...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 23, 20221 min read
NFL 2022 Week 7: Fading Three Covering Teams Based on Expectation for Reversion
Fading Cowboys, Falcons & Patriots in 2022 NFL week 7, after a combined 13-4-1 ATS run featuring a 6.3 point average margin. Details here...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 16, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 2: Reliable System Highlights O/U Plays Worth Considering
There is evidence that NFL bettors prefer OVERs. In 2022 NFL week 2 action, we are succumbing to our herding instinct and backing two OVERs.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 5, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: A Spot for Point-Takers Facing Dubious Division Foes
We like 4 division dogs for the 2022 NFL week 1 cover, based on a reliable system. Siding with Texans, Patriots, Falcons & Raiders ATS...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 5, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Exploiting Market Biases to Kick off the New Season
To kick off the 2022-23 NFL regular season, we are backing three home dogs for whom we have reason to believe betting spreads are mispriced.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 4, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Recency Bias at Work Early in the Regular Season
We identify a profitable system that highlights the Falcons, Bears, Lions & Texans as home dogs worth considering in 2022 NFL week 1 action
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 21, 20223 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Lines We Don't Expect to Last Until Opening Week
We look at how betting flows are shaping up for 2022 NFL week 1 action and detail six lines bettors might want to jump on sooner than later.
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 15, 20213 min read
2021 NFL Week 2: Atlanta Falcons & Tampa Bay Buccaneers
For week 2 NFL action, we make a strong case for the Atlanta Falcons cover at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this AFC South showdown...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 6, 20213 min read
2021 NFL Week 1: A Profitable Angle on Two Week 1 Road Dogs
History suggests the new York Jets, with rookie, Zach Wilson, at quarterback, are worth considering versus the number Sunday. We also...
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 3, 20211 min read
2020 NFL Week 17: Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have been rolling of late. Tampa Bay is riding a three-game straight up win streak after defeating each of their last two...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 8, 20201 min read
NFL 2020 Week 9: Denver Broncos @ Atlanta Falcons
Our power rankings work suggests the Falcons are a mere 1-2 points better than the Broncos in week 9, after accounting for the "limited...
@WizeOwlSports
Oct 29, 20201 min read
2020 NFL Week 8 TNF: Atlanta Falcons @ Carolina Panthers
Through seven weeks of NFL action, road dogs are 40-29 ATS, for a handsome 12% return on investment. In fact, so far this year, this...
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