top of page



@WizeOwlSports
Oct 5, 20243 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Fading Underperforming Favorites
We expand the use case for the Pythagorean Expectation in handicapping NFL action herein, by detailing another profitable system


@WizeOwlSports
Oct 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 6 Betting Picks Guide—Road Dogs off Bad Seasons
NFL Betting Picks: Indianapolis Colts +4 @ Jacksonville Jaguars Many of our NFL betting picks are based on an effort to exploit cognitive...


@WizeOwlSports
Oct 7, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide—Fade Covering Teams
NFL betting Picks: Taking points with Jags, Steelers & NY Giants sQuite improbably, Zach Wilson and the New York Jets upset the Buffalo...


@WizeOwlSports
Oct 1, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Letting the Spread be Your Guide
NFL Betting Picks: Big line movement informs plays on four week 4 underdogs Historically, extreme changes in the betting line early in...


@WizeOwlSports
Sep 21, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Siding with Four Dogs off Bad Offensive Performances In a piece last week, we discussed the reduced productivity of...


@WizeOwlSports
Sep 12, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Backing Momentum
NFL Betting Picks: Take the Jaguars & Cowboys ATS We have observed evidence of positive momentum in NFL betting markets. We describe...


@WizeOwlSports
Aug 27, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 1—Another Angle for Early Season Betting Picks
We're taking the New York Giants ATS at the Dallas Cowboys in the 2023-24 NFL season opener at AT&T Stadium. We detail our rationale here...


@WizeOwlSports
Jul 23, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 1: Highly Successful System Yields 7 Betting Picks
NFL Betting Picks: Backing low-quality dogs vs. their division The first action of the NFL season has historically proven a golden...


@WizeOwlSports
Jan 12, 20231 min read
2022 Wild Card Round: Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
We describe a system based on backing underdogs worthy of the flyer in the NFL playoffs. On Jan 14, 2023, we favor the Jaguars vs. Chargers


@WizeOwlSports
Jan 12, 20231 min read
2022 NFL Wild Card Round: A Very Lucrative Spot to Back Low Scoring Affairs
We outline here a system that identifies high conviction spots to back UNDERs in NFL Wild Card action. For 2022-23 three plays are triggered


@WizeOwlSports
Jan 5, 20231 min read
2022 NFL Week 18: Fading Big Cover Margins to Close Out Regular Season
We outline herein an NFL betting system that highlights the Titans at Jaguars & Commanders vs Cowboys for covers in 2022 NFL week 18 action.


@WizeOwlSports
Dec 22, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 16: How much is that doggy in the window?
Reliable system says take the points with the Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants & Houston Texans In the best start since 2006-07,...


@WizeOwlSports
Dec 10, 20222 min read
2022 Week 14 NFL Action: A High-Conviction Spot for Two Lowly Road Dogs
We detail an empirically supported system for betting NFL action that highlights the Jaguars & Panthers for covers in NFL 2022 week 14 play.


@WizeOwlSports
Dec 2, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 13: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions
We are betting the Jacksonville Jaguars snap the Detroit Lions' cover steak at four games when these teams meet in 2022 NFL week 13 action.


@WizeOwlSports
Oct 9, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 5: Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
History say 2022 NFL week 5, at the Jaguars, represents a solid spot to back the Texans for the road cover. We detail this perspective here


@WizeOwlSports
Sep 16, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 2: Backing Two Dogs That Are Not as Bad as You Think
Last year's worst teams tend to be underestimated early in the new season. We're taking the Panthers & Jags in 2022 NFL week 2 to capitalize


@WizeOwlSports
Aug 21, 20223 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Lines We Don't Expect to Last Until Opening Week
We look at how betting flows are shaping up for 2022 NFL week 1 action and detail six lines bettors might want to jump on sooner than later.


@WizeOwlSports
Nov 13, 20212 min read
2021 NFL Week 10: Teasing Wentz and Brady Sunday
We are combining the Colts (vs. the Jags) & the Bucs (at Washington) in a 7-point teaser in NFL week 10 play, as our power rankings...


@WizeOwlSports
Sep 26, 20210 min read
2021 NFL Week 3: A Pack of Dogs Worth Considering
Inline with the tendency for NFL underdogs to cover the spread early, we like the Colts, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints & Rams vs week 3 spreads


@WizeOwlSports
Aug 5, 20213 min read
2021 NFL Week 1: Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
Bookmakers opened the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars as three-point favorites for the week 1 face-off between these
bottom of page