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Oct 5, 20242 min read
2024 NFL Week 5 Betting Picks Guide: Backing Good Teams After Bad Games
We think the public is overreacting to one bad showing by the Bills, and we are betting on Buffalo for the bounce-back cover at H-Town...
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Sep 14, 20242 min read
2024 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide: A Spot for the Favorite
The Texans are 6.5-point favorites as hosts to the Bears in 2024-25 Week 2 Sunday Night Football. We are backing the boys of H-Town to cover
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Aug 27, 20242 min read
2024 NFL Week 1 Betting Picks Guide—A Solid Early-Season Spot for Taking the Points
Much of our work seeks to capitalize on bettor biases that create actionable inefficiencies in the marketplace. One common preference...
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Jan 13, 20242 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—A Strategy for Wildcard Round Totals
We detail herein a historically profitable angle that guides O/U betting for the Wildcard Round of the NFL Playoffs.
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Jan 12, 20242 min read
2023 NFL Playoffs Betting Picks Guide—Taking a Side ATS on Browns @ Texans
In our first betting pick of the 2023-24 NFL Playoffs, we are backing the Houston Texans for the underdog cover versus the Cleveland Browns
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Nov 5, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 1H Betting Picks Guide—Backing Struggling Offense
NFL Betting Picks: Backing underperforming offenses versus the 1H number—Houston Texans -1 1H and Las Vegas Raiders -0.5 1H The Texans'...
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Nov 5, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 9 Betting Picks Guide—Where is Rock Bottom?
After three consecutive (straight up) losses, we are backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers ATS at the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL week 9 action
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Oct 1, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 4 Betting Picks Guide—Letting the Spread be Your Guide
NFL Betting Picks: Big line movement informs plays on four week 4 underdogs Historically, extreme changes in the betting line early in...
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Sep 21, 20231 min read
2023 NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Siding with Four Dogs off Bad Offensive Performances In a piece last week, we discussed the reduced productivity of...
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Sep 14, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Week 2 Betting Picks Guide—Buying Unproductive Dogs Low
NFL Betting Picks: Backing a Pack of Dogs As indicated in the graphic below, according to SportsHandle, NFL teams have posted an average...
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Aug 9, 20232 min read
2023 NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Pick—Houston Texans @ New England Patriots
We indicate here our basis for backing the New England Patriots for the home cover versus the Houston Texans in 2023 NFL preseason week 1
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Jan 6, 20232 min read
NFL Week 18: Three Lowly Dogs Worth the Flyer in Final Regular Season Action
We detail a profitable NFL system based on exploiting the public's recency bias. This angle highlights three plays for 2022 NFL week 18...
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Dec 22, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 16: How much is that doggy in the window?
Reliable system says take the points with the Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants & Houston Texans In the best start since 2006-07,...
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Oct 9, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 5: Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
History say 2022 NFL week 5, at the Jaguars, represents a solid spot to back the Texans for the road cover. We detail this perspective here
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Sep 16, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 2: Backing Four Underdogs with Particularly Low Expectations
We are siding with a slew of underdogs in 2022 NFL week 2, including the Seahawks, Cowboys Texans and Bears. Read on for our rationale.
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Sep 5, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Teasing a Road Favorite and Home Dog
In 2022 NFL week 1 action, we are combining plays on the Vikings (vs. Packers) and Colts (at Texans) in a two-leg, six point teaser...
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Sep 5, 20221 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: A Spot for Point-Takers Facing Dubious Division Foes
We like 4 division dogs for the 2022 NFL week 1 cover, based on a reliable system. Siding with Texans, Patriots, Falcons & Raiders ATS...
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Sep 5, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Exploiting Market Biases to Kick off the New Season
To kick off the 2022-23 NFL regular season, we are backing three home dogs for whom we have reason to believe betting spreads are mispriced.
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Sep 4, 20222 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Recency Bias at Work Early in the Regular Season
We identify a profitable system that highlights the Falcons, Bears, Lions & Texans as home dogs worth considering in 2022 NFL week 1 action
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Aug 21, 20223 min read
2022 NFL Week 1: Lines We Don't Expect to Last Until Opening Week
We look at how betting flows are shaping up for 2022 NFL week 1 action and detail six lines bettors might want to jump on sooner than later.
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