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@WizeOwlSports
Jun 4, 20231 min read
Mixed Martial Arts Picks/Performance Log
We detail here an overview of our approach to handicapping MMA action. We also log historical performance & profitability of posted picks...
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@WizeOwlSports
Nov 4, 20232 min read
UFC Fight Night 231 Betting Picks: Angela Hill Vs. Denise Gomes
Backing Denise Gomes over Angela Hill in UFC Fight Night 231. Hill's absolute age and the age difference gives Gomes a distnct advantage.
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 5, 20232 min read
UFC on ESPN 50 Betting Pick: Diego Lopes vs. Gavin Tucker
We lay out our rationale for backing Diego Lopes to notch his first UFC win over Gavin Tucker at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 22, 20233 min read
UFC Fight Night 224: Jai Herbert vs. Fares Ziam
We are backing Fares Ziam to beat Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura in London on July 22, 2023. We make our case here...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 19, 20233 min read
UFC Fight Night 224: Davey Grant vs. Daniel Marcos
We outline herein our rationale for siding with Daniel Marcos over Davey Grant in action on the UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura card...
@WizeOwlSports
Jun 4, 20232 min read
UFC 289: Nassourdine Imavov Vs. Chris Curtis
One of our favorite angles for handicapping mixed martial arts action favors Nassourdine Imavov over Chris Curtis in UFC 289 action...
@WizeOwlSports
May 26, 20232 min read
UFC Vegas 74: Andrei Arlovski Vs. Don'Tale Mayes
Our favorite play on the UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi card is Don'Tale Mayes over Andrei Arlovski. We lay out our rationale here.
@WizeOwlSports
May 9, 20232 min read
UFC on ABC 4: Anthony Smith Vs. Johnny Walker
We detail our rationale for backing Johhny Walker over Anthony Smith in the co-main event at UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
@WizeOwlSports
May 6, 20232 min read
UFC 288 Main Event: Aljamain Sterling Vs. Henry Cejudo
We lay out our case for why Aljamain "The FunkMaster" Sterling is undervalued in his matchup with Henry Cejudo in the UFC 288 main event.
@WizeOwlSports
Apr 15, 20232 min read
UFC on ESPN 44: Lando "Groovy" Vannata vs. Daniel "Golden Boy" Zellhuber
We select Daniel "Golden Boy" Zellhuber (-130) over Lando "Groovy" Vannata as our most compelling UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen pick.
@WizeOwlSports
Mar 18, 20232 min read
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
We like Leon Edwards over Kamaru Usman in the headline event for UFC 286. We lay out our rationale here for backing the underdog champion...
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 4, 20232 min read
UFC Fight Night 218: Marcin "Tybur" Tybura vs. Blagoy "Baga" Ivanov
We are backing Marcin Tybura in UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac, on the basis of one of our favorite angles: considerable reach advantage
@WizeOwlSports
Jan 21, 20233 min read
UFC 283: Glover Teixeira vs. Jamahal Hill
We make a case for Jamahal "Sweet Dreams" Hill over Glover Teixeria in the UFC 283 main event. This spot represents one of favorite angles
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 7, 20223 min read
UFC 281 Main Event: Israel Adesanya vs. Alex Pereira
We are backing the favorite and middleweight champion, Israel Adesanya versus Alex Pereira in the UFC 281 headline event at MSG Saturday...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 13, 20222 min read
UFC Fight Night San Diego: Expect a Bear Sighting
We see value with Devin "Brown Bear" Clark versus Azamat "The Professional" Murzakanov on the UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz card Saturday.
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 24, 20222 min read
UFC 277: Taking a Side on Pena Vs. Nunes 2
We think Julianna Peña's success vs. Amanda Nunes last December is repeatable and we are backing Peña for the upset win at UFC 277 Saturday.
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 7, 20223 min read
Betting the Main Event at UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
We like Rafael Fiziev to defeat the aged Rafael Dos Anjos Saturday in the UFC Fight Night main event. Read on for our detailed rationale.
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 22, 20213 min read
UFC Vegas 32: Cory Sandhagen Vs. T.J. Dillashaw
Given favorable environmental context, Sandhagen's edge striking & our view that repeated failed takedowns traumatized DIllashaw, we...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 14, 20212 min read
UFC Vegas 31: Miesha Tate vs. Marion Reneau
The current -145 level for Tate's moneyline suggest a 59% implied probability of the win. We see value with the favorite up to about -160...
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 10, 20212 min read
UFC 264: Poirier Vs. McGregor 3 Betting Pick
We explore angles & detail our favorite wager for the UFC 264 main event, the trilogy meeting between Dustin Piorier & Conor McGregor.
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 20, 20212 min read
UFC Fight Night Blaydes vs. Lewis: Playing the Main Event
History says, back the big favorite in this spot, and bet that the end will come in dramatic fashion. We are positioning accordingly...
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 6, 20212 min read
Our Favorite Play on the UFC Fight Night: Overeem Vs. Volkov Main Event
A pretty good swath of history, plus the wisdom of the crowds suggest Overeem vs. Volkov is somewhere between 71-89% likely to end inside...
@WizeOwlSports
Nov 28, 20202 min read
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Too much is being made of the 'higher caliber' of Anthony "Lionheart" Smith's opponents relative to the names on Devin Clark's resume...
@WizeOwlSports
Sep 24, 20204 min read
UFC 253: Israel Adesanya vs. Paolo Costa
We think Adesanya's length, speed / athleticism, diversity of strikes and counterpunching will ultimately guide The Last Stylebender to..
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 29, 20204 min read
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Smith vs. Aleksandar Rakic
With odds reflecting the degree of mismatch well, we are passing on taking a side here. Instead, we are willing to bet on Smith's ability to
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 22, 20202 min read
UFC Vegas 7: Ike Villanueva Vs. Jordan Wright
Jordan Wright's natural advantages alone suggest to us his chances of winning are closer to 60% than 50%. As such, we are happy to buy The B
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 15, 20202 min read
UFC 252: Miocic Vs. Cormier 3
Cormier is the slightly better striker, and better wrestler in aggregate. However, Stipe's reach, activity level and takedown defense offer
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 25, 20203 min read
UFC Fight Island 3: Francisco Trinaldo Vs. Jai Herbert
We are taking the flyer on the British UFC newcomer versus the grizzled veteran Brazilian in preliminary action . We concede that our pick f
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 23, 20203 min read
UFC Fight Island 3: Bethe Correia Vs Pannie Kianzad
We see Correia's age and decline, coupled with Kianzad's youth and reach as sufficient to secure the win for Pannie, in a contest th
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 18, 20201 min read
UFC Fight Island 2: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Joseph Benavidez
While we like Figueiredo for the victory, -230 odds are too rich for our blood. Instead we're playing the 'Figueiredo inside the dis
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 18, 20202 min read
UFC Fight Island 2: Joel Alvarez Vs. Joseph Duffy
As far as we can tell, this looks like a solid spot to take a flier on a big (live) dog. Age and reach advantages for Alvarez as well as sig
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 18, 20202 min read
UFC Fight Island 2: Davi Ramos Arman Tsarukyan
As a result of Tsarukyan's youth and Ramos' age, as well as Tsarukyan's natural advantages, we regard the favorite by decision a
@WizeOwlSports
May 18, 20194 min read
UFC Rochester: Rafael Dos Anjos Vs. Kevin Lee
Perversely, we have been keen to profit, over the years, from mixed martial artists' unwillingness to ride off into the sunset when that
@WizeOwlSports
May 4, 20192 min read
UFC Fight Night 151: Arjan Bhullar vs. Juan Adams
The card for UFC Fight Night 151, which will be headlined by by a lightweight clash between "Raging" Al Iaqunita and Donald "
@WizeOwlSports
Mar 2, 20193 min read
UFC 235: Jon Jones vs. Anthony Smith
We like Jones to collect the win in the headline event for UFC 235 Saturday night, and to continue his effort to put the personal foolishnes
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 16, 20194 min read
UFC on ESPN: Francis Ngannou vs. Cain Velasquez
We are looking for Ngannou to continue his bounce-back bid, at Cain's expense Sunday. While Cain Velasquez arguably revolutionized the h
@WizeOwlSports
Feb 9, 20194 min read
UFC 234: Finding Value on Anderson Silva vs. Israel Adesanya
While we expect Israel Adesanya to ultimately collect the win tonight and hasten the legendary Anderson Silva's eventual ride off into t
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 7, 20182 min read
UFC 226: Miocic Vs. Cormier Betting Pick
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier o3.5 -132 T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada July 7, 2018 There is the case to be made that Stipe Miocic is...
@WizeOwlSports
Aug 5, 20172 min read
UFC Fight Night 114: Sam Alvey vs. Rashad Evans
Veteran fighter, "Suga" Rashad Evans will take on "Smile'N" Sam AIvey in UFC Fight Night 114 in Mexico CIty this eve
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 29, 20173 min read
UFC 214: Daniel Cormier vs. Jon Jones II
The statistical penchant for first fights to be indicative of the superior competitor, Jones' edges on offense and defense (and in the r
@WizeOwlSports
Jul 8, 20172 min read
UFC 213: Werdum Vs. Overeem (III)
abricio "Vai Cavalo" Werdum and Alastair "The Reem" Overeem will meet tonight in the second fight on the main card of UF
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