WizeOwlSports

[A] play is triggered on [the] Los Angeles [Rams], and we are counting the home dog cover at SoFi among our NFL betting picks for Week 5

Given...constructive indications...we regard the Pats +1 as our highest-conviction ATS pick of Week 5.

We expand the use case for the Pythagorean Expectation in handicapping NFL action herein, by detailing another profitable system

We think the public is overreacting to one bad showing by the Bills, and we are betting on Buffalo for the bounce-back cover at H-Town...

[W]e recently instituted the modification of cross-checking our historical context-based picks against Massey-Peabody NFL Power Rankings...

Our Week 4 NFL betting picks include ATS plays on the Colts and Ravens, struggling teams facing unbeaten opposition

The Chargers are the biggest underdogs of 2024 NFL Week 4 and we regard LA plus the points as our highest conviction NFL (ATS) betting pick

The UNDER is 27-20-1 (57%) through the first three weeks of NFL action...our first play of [Week 4] is Dallas at New York Giants u45.5.

After last week's subpar numbers, we expect New England's offense to be sufficient to cover as hosts to the Seahawks in Week 2 NFL action...

The Texans are 6.5-point favorites as hosts to the Bears in 2024-25 Week 2 Sunday Night Football. We are backing the boys of H-Town to cover

NFL Betting Picks: Taking the Points with the [Panthers], Packers, Titans and LA Rams in Week 2 Bill James, who might be best known for...

Discover a consistently profitable NFL betting picks guide, predicated on backing UNDERs in division action

The Cowboys opened as 1.5-point favorites at the Browns. The line has since swung four points. History suggests bettors are overreacting.

We suspect bettors shunning New England is an overreaction to the Pats' tough times of late, constituting a prime example of recency bias.

Much of our work seeks to capitalize on bettor biases that create actionable inefficiencies in the marketplace. One common preference...

NFL Betting Picks: Taking Points with the Panthers, NY Giants and Commanders One solidly profitable angle, predicated on the public's...

Our first betting pick of the 2024 NFL regular season is a play on the Kansas City Chiefs to cover the chalk versus the Baltimore Ravens