Denver Nuggets @ Sacramento Kings u212.5 (-117)
The computers we employ suggest an aggregate total of 197 or 208 when the Nuggets and Kings hook up at Sleep Train Arena tonight -- well below the betting line at 212.5. As such we are betting the UNDER.
While Denver is an average team on the road -- as measured by points scored, anyway, our approach estimates that the Kings' sub-par defense should translate to 3 additional points for the Nuggests.
On the other hand, with an average home score of 102.7, Sac is about 1.4 points better than average in games where they play host. Nonetheless, we expect that the porous Nugget defense will embellish the Kings scoring capacity by more than 5 points. Still, our methodology for estimating totals based on adjusted average scores hints at a final score of 102-108 -- still south of the betting line at 212.5.
Happy betting!!