Portland Blazers at San Antonio Spurs o197.5 (-117)
Our simulation-based as well as quant work point to a high-scoring affair, relative to the betting line, when the Blazers head to AT&T Center in San Antonio this evening. All three factors call for a combined aggregate score north of 200, with the quant factor predicting 214 (our quantitative assessment is based on average scores posted by Portland on the road and San Antonio at home, adjsuted for the strength of the opposing defense each team will face tonight).
5Dimes disaggregates the scoring toal as SAN 101.5 + POR 97. Prior to their last three home stands, San Antonio had strung together ten consecutive games where team scoring exceeded the 101 point threshhold. Similarly, Portland has managed less than 97 points only five times of the 17 games played away from Moda Center this season. While both teams rank among the league's top ten in defensive efficiency, both also boast very capable offenses (the Blazers average 105 points away, while a typical home game in San Antonio would feature 106 points for the Spurs). As such, we look forward to a fan-pleasing game, with plenty of scoring.
Happy betting!!