Utah Jazz @ Los Angeles Lakers o181.5
The two independent simulation routines included in our value model anticipate total scoring in the 189-194 range when the Utah Jazz face the Los Angeles Lakers this evening at the Staples Center.
Similarly, a quantitative factor, based on the median scores produced this season by the Lakers at home and the Jazz away, and then adjusted for the strength of the opposing defense each team will face this evening, points to an aggregate score of 196.
Thus, betting on a combined total score over 181.5 seems an appealing proposition by several appraoches.
Since February, our value model is 4-1 handicapping games featuring the Lakers or the Jazz and where all factors endorse a unanimous outcome. The model is 28-22 broadly over this timeframe.
The UNDER is 9-1 in the Jazz's last ten out, while the Lakers evenly split the OVER/UNDER in their last ten games.
Happy betting!!