Washington Wizards @ Brooklyn Nets u206 (-115)
Barclays Center, New York City, New York
December 23, 2015, 4PM EST
Our work expects a combined total of 201-203 when the Wizards travel to the Big Apple to take on the Nets. As such, we are enthusiastically backing UNDER 206.
The UNDER has cashed in in each of the last five meetings between these teams. Further, of the 20 head-to-head games since 2010, the UNDER is a smart 14-6.
Brooklyn is coming off of back-to-back OVERs, but in aggregate the Nets O/U record this season is 6-14.
Conversely, Washington is more likely to surprise to the upside in the scoring department, as is reflected by their 16-11 O/U record. However, the Wizards' last two out resulted in paydays for the UNDER. This observation coincides with an exceptionally strong defensive run over this period (Washington ranks 22nd in the league this season by Defensive Efficiency, but sorts 11th by this metric over their last three games).
Our work suggests that Washington's new defensive commitment should pay dividends yet again this afternoon against Brooklyn's 26th-ranked offense (by True Shooting Percentage).
Back the under.
Happy betting!!