LA Clippers +15.5 (-105) @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
March 31, 2016, 6:30PM PDT
Chris Paul, DeAndre Jordan and J.J. Redick will miss Thursday's action for the Clippers, as Coach Doc Rivers is opting to rest these key personnel. Similarly, Paul Pierce's bad knee will resign the veteran forward to the sidelines for this contest.
Our sim work makes OKC to be about 10 points better at home tonight than a skeleton Clippers squad. Accordingly, we like LA to cover.
In addition to our computer simulation framework though, we note that the Thunder are a meager 19-19-1 ATS at home this season, an even worse 9-12-1 following a losing effort, and an atrocious 2-6 when favored by more than 13.
Take the hefty chalk and back the road dogs.
The betting line opened at Thunder -8/-8.5 at many shops, but news regarding personnel limitations caused the spread to rocket to 15.5. SportsInsights is 90% confident the number will tighten to 15 (57% of ATS bets favor Los Angeles still), so we advise getting on the inflated number while the getting is good.
Happy betting!!