New Orleans Pelicans @ Philadelphia 76ers u206 (-107)
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
April 5, 2016, 4:00PM PDT
Our sim work calls for a combined total of 201 when the Pelicans meet the 76ers in Philly this afternoon, well below the total threshold. As such we are enthusiastically backing the under.
Betting trends too offer substantial support for the under. For instance, the Sixers' o/u is 1-2 from the unfamiliar position of home favorite, while the Pelicans' over is 9-25-2 as the road underdog. Further these teams' o/u is a combined 23-32-1 facing competition outside their respective conferences. The under is also 4-2-1 in the last seven games at Philadelphia.
Bottom Line: Back the under on the strength of a high conviction signal from our sim model plus highly supportive betting trends.
Happy betting!!