LA Clippers @ GS Warriors u234
Oracle Arena, Oakland, CA
April 15, 2019, 7:30 PM PDT
UNDERS have covered at a 54% clip, for about a 5% return on investment (ROI), in the first round of the NBA playoffs (back to 2005). Further, lower than expected total scores have proven significantly more likely in opening playoff series when there is a big gap between the involved teams' ability. In post-season games where the home team is laying double-digits the UNDER is 39-24-2, for a 20% ROI over this horizon.
The Warriors are giving the Clippers 13 1/2 at Oracle Arena this evening. If history is any guide, these teams will produce a lower aggregate number of points than the Las Vegas total line forecasts.
This trend has been even more profitable in the NBA's Western Conference. Since 2005, UNDERs are 21-9 in left coast playoff games where the home team is favored by at least ten.
We also note the following team-level trends in support of the UNDER this evening:
The Warriors O/U finished the regular season 16-26 at Oracle,
The UNDER is 24-17 in Clippers road games this season,
Golden State's regular season O\U vs. the West is 22-31,
The UNDER has cashed in after each of the three head-to-head meetings between these teams in 2019
Happy betting!!