Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears -3 Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois September 5, 2019, 5:20PM PST
We are backing the Bears to cover the 2019-2020 season NFL opener as hosts to the Packers. Consistent with this wager, all of the power rankings and computer simulation routines on our roster expect the home cover this evening.
Our power rankings frameworks make the Bears to be 3-4 points better than the Cheeseheads, while the three sim routines we license suggest an average margin in the ballpark of a touchdown.
From a macro perspective, we note the tendency for home favorites to cover NFL contests played on Thursdays. Per Pro Football Reference's database, regular season home favorites are 99-72-7 ATS (57%) in Thursday Night Football. TNF home favorites that made the prior post-season are an even more impressive 45-24-2 ATS (65%) against non-playoff teams. Further, when the involved teams are from the same division, the team laying points at home on Thursday is 28-18 ATS.
Happy betting!!