Fading Golden State After Game 4 Win in Boston: Celtics +4
Tony Salinas' Zig-Zag Theory posits that home teams are most likely to collect the cover in the opening game of postseason series'. In subsequent contests this framework says back the straight up loser of the prior game for the cover.
While this system is wildly popular and is cited by numerous bettors and analysts each postseason, the Zig-Zag Theory has amassed a meager 750-726-28 (51%) ATS record back to 2004-05. As a seeming sliver lining for Tony Salinas fans though, the Zig-Zag Theory is a serviceable 56-44-1 the NBA Finals. However, this winning record owes entirely to the ridiculous profitability associated with backing home teams in the opening game of the last series of the playoffs (squads starting the Finals in their building are 14-3 ATS).
But despite the Zig-Zag Theory's questionable longer-term history, this framework is 50-39 ATS (56%) so far in the 2021-22 postseason, and an even more impressive 3-1 ATS in the current NBA Finals.
We're betting with the Zig-Zag Theory again Monday and taking the points with the Celtics—for reasons totally separate from Tony Salinas' esteemed reputation. We highlight below an unrelated, credible historical basis for betting on the road cover:
In game 5 action featuring teams that both appeared in the prior postseason, backing teams that lost their last one or two games has delivered a statistically significant 21% return on investment since the 2005-06 postseason.
This angle is 7-2 ATS so far this season.
Happy betting!!
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